Projected 2024 NFL draft order: Which team is No. 1?

We’re almost a year from the 2024 NFL draft, and 285 games lie ahead that will determine the draft order. Anything can happen. We won’t know what the top 10 will look like until the end of Week 18 this season, and even then, things can change with pre-draft trades up or down the board.

But we are still projecting how the draft order might play out in those first 10 picks using our newly released ESPN Football Power Index for the 2023 season, which gives each team’s expected draft slot. The model’s…